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HomeMy WebLinkAboutA018 - Presale AnalysisPRESALE ANALYSIS - -- - .. . ..... .. .... ................ -+- -- - $3,205,oaa GENERAL OBLIGATION REFUNDING BONDS, SERIES 1998B CITY OF AMES, IOWA EVENSEN DODGE INC F I N A N C I A L C 0 N S U L T A N 1 S EVENSEN DODGE INC November 6, 1998 Mr. Steven Schainker, City Manager Ms. Alice Carroll, Director of Finance City of Ames 515 Clark Avenue Ames, IA 50010 RE: $3,205,000 General Obligation Refunding Bonds, Series 1998E Dear Mr. Schainker and Ms. Carroll: Attached is our Presale Analysis prepared in connection with the City's issuance of $3,205,000 General Obligation Refunding Bonds, Series 1998B proposed for sale on November 10, 1998. The Presale Analysis summarizes the purpose of this issue, describes how the Bonds have been structured and discusses other aspects related to the marketing of the Bonds. We will prepare a Postsale Analysis reporting and analyzing the results of the sale after the Bonds have been sold. We look forward to a successful offering. Sincerely, EVENSEN DODGE, INC. David M. Dirks Senior Vice President /ilp Enclosure 4.� Lucas A. Baker Financial Analyst 0371137 100 Court Avenue, Suite 215, Des Moines, Iowa 50309 (515) 282-6138 (515) 282-0252 FAX TABLE OF CONTENTS Section Page IPurpose of the Sale ......................................................................... ..................... I 2 Proposed Terms and Conditions of Sale .............................................................. 2 3 Preliminary Debt Schedule and Savings Report .................................................. 3 4 Bidding Requirements .......................................................................................... 6 5 Rating ................................................................................................................... 7 6 Continuing Disclosure ............................... .......................................................... 8 7 General Market Conditions .................................................................................. 9 8 Proposed Financing Timetable ........................................................................... 1.1 9 List of Participants .............................................................................................. 12 0371137 SECTION 1 0 91 This Presale Analysis presents background information for the City's use in considering the issuance of $3,205,000 General Obligation Refunding Bonds, Series 1998E at a public sale on November 10, 1998. The proceeds of the Bonds will be used to refund the 2000-2004 maturities of the City's General Obligation Bonds, Series 1992, dated June 1, 1992 ("The Refunded Bonds"). The Refunded Bonds will be called and paid on June 1, 1999 at a price of 100. Dated Original Maturities Amount Call Call Amount Refunded Refunded Date Price 6/1/92 $6,010,00 2000/2004 $3,125,00 6/l/99 PAR Sources and Uses of Funds Sources of Funds: Par Amount of Bonds Accrued Interest Total Sources of Funds Uses of Funds: Deposit to Escrow Account Cost of Issuance Underwriters Discount Accrued Interest Contingency Total Uses of Funds no= EVENSEN DODGE INC 0371137 $3,205,000.00 9,843.96 $3,214,843.96 $3,155,682.10 33,000.00 16,025.00 9,843.96 53,214,843.96 Page I SECTION 2 PROPOSED TERMS AND CONDITIONS OF SALE Principal Amount of Issue: $3,205,000 Dated Date of Bonds: November 1, 1998 Proposed Sale Date: November 10, 1,998 Type of Sale: Competitive First Interest Payment: June 1, 1999 Maturity Date and Amounts: June I as follows: Year Amount 2000 $665,000 2001 655,000 2002 640,000 2003 615,000 2004 615,000 Call Feature: The Bonds are not subject to prior redemption. Bank Qualified: The Bonds are "Qualified Tax -Exempt Obligations." Security: The Bonds are general obligations of the City secured by its full faith and credit and power to levy taxes without limitation as to rate or amount against all taxable property in its territory. =SEVENSEN DODGE INC Page 2 0371137 I D I 1� u 1-1 J Li I 11 E H �1 f] 0 D �IL SECTION 3 [-RELIMINARY DEBT SCHEDULE AND SAVINGS REPORT The following schedules show the projected debt service payments on the Bonds and savings to be realized through the refunding transaction. The savings are projected to be $136,608.75 with a present value of $124,880.43 rM EVENSEN DODGE INC Page 3 0371137 I E I i I 71 I I E J I I City of Ames, Iowa $3,205,000 G.O. Refunding Bonds, Series 1998 Uniform Savings 11 Market 2 10/14/98 11 Scale = 6/23/98 Sale Debt Service Schedule Date Principal Coupon Interest Period Total Fiscal Total -------- -------­----- ---------- -------------- -­------­--- -------------- 6/ 1/99 68,907.71 68,907.71 68,907.71 12/ 1/99 59,063.75 59,063.75 6/ 1/ 0 665,000.00 3.450000 59,063.75 724,063.75 783,127.50 12/ 1/ 0 47,592.50 47,592.50 6/ 1/ 1 655,000.00 3.600000 47,592.50 702,592.50 750,185.00 12/ 1/ 1 35,802.50 35,802.50 6/ 1/ 2 640,000.00 3.700000 35,802.50 675,802.50 711,605.00 12/ 1/ 2 23 962.50 23,962.50 6/ 1/ 3 630,000.00 3.800000 23:962.50 653,962.50 677,925.00 12/ 1/ 3 11,992.50 11,992.50 6/ 1/ 4 615,000.00 3.900000 11,992.50 626,992.50 638,985.00 -------------- -------------- -------------- 3,205,000.00 425,735.21 3,630,735.21 ACCRUED 9,843.96 9,843.96 3,205,000.00 415,891.25 3,620,891.25 Dated 11/ 1/98 with Delivery of 12/ 1/98 Bond Years 11,359.583 Average Coupon 3.747807 Average Life 3.544332 4 1 C % 3.88W77 % Using 99.5000000 T I C % 3.901502 % From Delivery Date Prepared by Evensen Dodge, Inc. Micro -Muni Debt Date: 11-06-1998 a 08:42:38 Filename: AMES Key: REF Page 4 ri 0371137 City of Ames, Iowa $3,205,000 G.O. Refunding Bonds, Series 1998 Uniform Savings 11 Market is 10/14/98 11 Scale = 6/23/98 Sale axsssassxxsass Savings Report aassaasasaaxas - - - - - - - - Proposed Debt Service - - - - - - - - Prior Cumulative Date Principal Coupon Interest Total Debt Service ----------­-- Savings ----Savings ------- --- -------- 6/ 1/99 -------------- ---------- -------------- 68,907.71 -------------- 68,907.71 -------------- 89,687.50 30,623.75 30,623.75 12/ 1/99 59,063.75 6/ 1/ 0 665,000.00 3.450000 59,063.75 783,127.50 804,375.00 21,247.50 51,871.25 12/ 1/ 0 47,592.50 6/ 1/ 1 655,000.00 3.600000 47,592.50 750,185.00 769,375.00 19,190.00 71,061.25 12/ 1/ 1 35,802.50 6/ 1/ 2 640,000.00 3.700000 35,802.50 711,605.00 734,062.50 22,457.50 93,518.75 12/ 1/ 2 23,962.50 6/ 1/ 3 630,000.00 3.800000 23,962.50 677,925.00 698,125.00 20,200.00 113,718.75 12/ 1/ 3 11,992.50 6/ 1/ 4 615,000.00 3.900000 11,992.50 638,985.00 661,875.00 22,890.00 136,608.75 -------------- -------------- 3,205,000.00 -------------- 425,735.21 -------------- 3,630,735.21 -------------- 3,757,500.00 136,608.75 ACCRUED 9,843.96 90843.96 3,205,000.00 415,891.25 3,620,891.25 3,757,500.00 136,608.75 Dated 11/ 1/98 with Delivery of 12/ 1/98 Bond Years 11,359.583 Average Coupon 3.747807 Average Life 3.544332 N I C % 3.888877 % Using 99.5000000 T I C % 3.901502 % From Delivery Date N 0 T E : Savings on 6/ 1/99 Include Accrued Interest of 9,843.96 Net Present Value Savings at: 3.7442% Equals 124,880.43 or 3.8964% of Par of the Current issue or 3.9962% of Par of the Prior Issue Prepared by Eversen Dodge, Inc. Micro -Muni Debt Date: 11-06-1998 is 08:42:30 Filename: AMES Key: REF Page 5 0371137 I i SECTION 4 I I L Li BIDDING REQUIREMENTS Sealed bids will be received until 2:00 P.M., Central Time, on November 10, 1998. At that time, they will be opened and tabulated. Council consideration and action will occur at a meeting at 7:00 P.M. the same day. The bidders will be required to submit their bid in accordance with requirements outlined in the Notice of Sale. Bidders will be required to purchase the Bonds at a price not less than 99.5% of par. The discount is a marketing feature which allows the purchaser to take its profit in the discount bid on the Bonds and to reoffer the Bonds at par. The estimated compensation for an issue of this size and maturity length should run between $4 and $5 per $ 1,000 of bonds depending on market conditions. The appropriate compensation of a purchaser varies depending upon the issue size, rating and market conditions. The competitive bid process assures that bidders will keep their profit margins at appropriate levels. A second requirement is that interest rates must be bid in non -descending order. This bidding restriction allows the savings generated from the refunding to be applied uniformly across the term of the issue. ZTEEVENSEN DODGE INC Page 6 0371137 SECTION 5 RATING The City has requested ratings on the Bonds from Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and Standard & Poor's. Evensen Dodge is assisting the City with its rating applications. The City and representatives of Evensen Dodge made a presentation to Moody's Investors Service, Inc. on October 21, 1998 in Ames at the City's offices. On November 5, 1998, Standard & Poor's issued a press release confirming a rating of AA on the City's general obligation debt including the Bonds. S&P cited the City's stable and diversified economic base; strong financial position; and moderate debt burden as the rationale behind the rating. Moody's has not yet issued its rating, but the expectation is that its "Aaa" rating will be confirmed. SE EVENSEN DODGE INC Page 7 0371137 u I I U u u n I �11 I ;tl CONTINUING DISCLOSURE The Securities and Exchange Commission issued rule 15(c)2-12 in 1990 which states that underwriters cannot bid on issues of $ 1,000,000 or more unless they have first reviewed an official statement which has been designated by the issuing municipality as a "near final official statement." Though the rule places an obligation on the underwriter, it is generally understood that the ultimate responsibility for the quality of disclosure provided in an official statement rests with the City. Evensen Dodge has assisted the City with the preparation and dissemination of a "nearly final official statement" to the underwriting community prior to the sale of the Bonds. After the sale Evensen Dodge will prepare an addendum to the Official Statement which contains the information determined at the sale, such as the purchaser and the interest rates on the Bonds. Up to 100 copies of the Official Statement and Addendum will be provided to the purchaser of the Bonds. Beginning in July of 1995, issuers must also covenant to provide continuing disclosure on the Bonds as long as the Bonds are outstanding. For the City, the continuing disclosure will consist of the filing of an information statement and the timely filing of notice of the occurrence of certain material events. The information report consists of an audited financial report and updated information similar to the disclosure information provided with the official statement for the Bonds. Material events consist of 11 specific events which must be disclosed if they occur. The City will execute a Continuing Disclosure Undertaking which sets forth the covenant by the City to provide continuing disclosure and which specifies the type of information that must be updated annually. =a= 5--mSEVENSEN DODGE INC Page 8 I 0371137 SECTION 7 i I F1111 IN [e-rz- nz 1 11'' 11111 I'll 10 A graph showing The Bond Bnyer's Index (BBI) dated November 6, 1998 follows. This graph shows the movement of tax-exempt rates since 1982. The BBI has been volatile in 1998, and has risen in recent weeks. The BBI fell as low as 4.87% in October approaching a 20-year low point. It has since risen to 5.04 but is still well below historical averages for the past 20 years. We have estimated, based on current market conditions, that the Bonds will receive a net interest rate of between 3.75% and 4.00%. Nevertheless, the possibility of sudden shifts in the market exists because of its sensitivity to events that cannot be foreseen. Therefore, we cannot predict what the actual rate of interest will be when the Bonds are sold on November 10, 1998. am-- R5*0-EVENSEN DODGE INC Page 9 0371137 C7, 00 cc 966 8� c L661 966 9661 V66 C66 L Z66 L 066 L 6961 PON* 996 P= -ism) L96 9961 996 V961 C96 L Z96 L Iq 4Q C) U� N C) co (c 'IT IL v 11 CITY OF AMES, IOWA $31205,000 General Obligation Corporate Purpose Bonds, Series 1998B Tentative Schedule of Events (Prepared October 18, 1998) October 1998 S M T W T F S 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 November 1998 S M T W T F S 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 DATE ACTION October 19, 1998 October 21, 1998 iOctober 26, 1998 October 30, 1998 November 6, 1998 November 10, 1998 November 11 - December 1, 1998 December 2, 1998 December 9, 1998 n NEVENSEN DODGE INC 0371137 December 1998 S M T W T F S 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Initial draft of Official Statement to City. Ratings presentation to Moody's Investors Services, Inc. at the City. Revised Official Statement distributed for review and final comments. Official Statement printed and mailed to prospective bidders. Presale to City. Bond sale. Prepare closing documents. Bond closing. Postsale to City. Page I I Issuer City of Ames 515 Clark Avenue Ames, IA 50010 Mr. Steven Schainker City Manager Ms. Alice Carroll Director of Finance Ms. Sue Rybolt Assistant Director of Finance 515/239-5113 515/239-5325 (FAX) Financial Advisor Evensen Dodge, Inc. 100 Court Avenue, Suite 215 Des Moines, IA 50309 Mr. David M. Dirks Senior Vice President 515/282-6138 515/282-0252 (FAX) 601 Second Avenue South, Suite 5 100 Minneapolis, MN 55402 Mr. Wayne S. Burggraaff Senior Vice President and Principal Mr. Lucas A. Baker Financial Analyst 612/338-3535 612/338-7264 (FAX) I Bond Counsel Dorsey & Whitney LLP 801 Grand, Suite 3900 Des Moines, IA 50309 Robert H. Helmick, Esq. 515/283-1000 515/283-1060 (FAX) N= EVENSEN DODGE INC Page 12 0371137